Sep 06

Last week, an experiment conducted by Duke University and the European RIPE Network Control Center got a little bit out of hand, interrupting Internet traffic in 60 countries worldwide.  In all, about one percent of Internet traffic was affected by the test gone awry.  One percent of Internet traffic does not sound like a lot – most of that traffic was probably illegal file sharing, lolcats and porn, but what if your Internet based business was affected?  My employer (who shall remain nameless and whose opinions this post does not reflect) is an Internet based business in which the value of each (time sensitive) transaction is probably thousands of times the average for the rest of the net.  We were not affected by the testers’ little oopsie, but had we been, the potential losses would have been significant.  I am sure my company is not the only one in such a situation.

Yes, Cisco did fix the bug which caused this particular outage, but I think that this incident points out some questions that really need to be answered:

Should researchers be conducting experiments on the Internet with potential for widespread negative impact on a shared business resource? If someone ran this type of potentially disruptive testing on my company’s network during business hours, I’d be looking for them to be fired, sued, arrested and forced to listen to this album for the rest of their lives.  Researchers need to realize that the Internet is the planet’s “production network” with no “maintenance window” and that the same best practices we follow in the enterprise (separate test environment, for example) need to be followed when tinkering with its innards.

Had someone experienced significant financial losses due to this experiment, what would its recourse be? No one expects the Internet to be free of glitches and outages, but in this case, a conscious decision was made to do something which could reasonably be expected to cause problems.  Could there be lawsuits here?  Are the researchers exposing their organizations to potentially ginormous liability?  If the damaged party was in, say, Asia, who would have jurisdiction over the case and where would it be tried?

In an era where cyberspace is increasingly recognized as a “battlespace,” could an experiment such as this (on a larger scale) be mistaken for a cyber attack and possibly lead to real world hostilities?

Researchers and governments should take this opportunity to stop and think about the “rules of the road” for the global Internet.  Long ago, we all recognized that the oceans are a common resource and that we need a Law of the Sea to allow us to agree on what is and is not acceptable on the bounding main.  It seems to me that the Internet is the sea of the 21st century and needs a similar set of supranational rules to ensure that it accessible to all.  Are you listening, UN?

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Aug 25

It turns out that helium is important for more than party balloons and making our voices high and squeaky… and that we may run out of the stuff in spite of the fact that it is the second most abundant element in the universe (after hydrogen).   Amongst atomic element number 2′s many uses are cryogenics (required for MRI scans) and the manufacture of semiconductors, optic fiber and liquid crystal displays.  Here on Earth, there is a finite supply of helium, half of which sits in the US Government’s Federal Helium Program stockpiles.  In 1996, the US Congress decided to mandate that the entire stockpile be sold off by 2015.  The result?  Bargain basement helium prices which encourage waste.  Many of the applications for helium can be designed to recapture and reuse the gas, but since the stuff is so cheap, there is no incentive for users to manage the supplies in a sane manner.  As a result, we could run out of the gas within 25 years.

Currently, there is no commercially viable way to make more helium – our supplies here on Earth are the result of radioactive decay, and extracting helium from the air would result in prices many thousands of times higher than today (think $100 for a single party balloon).  And I shudder to think how much a big screen TV would cost in a helium poor world (now we are talking an emergency the public can understand).

Seems to me that Congress screwed up here and we still have time to fix the problem – simply raise the price of helium to a point where it makes sense to conserve the stuff.   It seems to me that the need for helium is going to grow over the coming years and we are setting ourselves up for a totally avoidable problem – time to write the congress-creatures…

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Aug 23

under the sea…

By alberg systemic risk Comments Off

A while back, I did a post about the global undersea communications network which forms the underpinning of the global Internet.  Here’s a great way to get an idea of how your data gets from point A to point B:

Greg’s Cable Map is an attempt to consolidate all the available information about the undersea communications infrastructure. The initial data was harvested from Wikipedia, and further information was gathere by simply googling and transcribing as much data as possible into a useful format, namely a rich geocoded format. I hope you find the resource useful and any constructive criticism is welcome.”

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Jun 20

Wanted - for destruction of society as we know it?

The subtitle of this blog promises reading to keep you up at night… so, here goes…  aside from creating hot weather and giving us skin cancer, our Sun threatens our technological society in yet another, even scarier way.  Solar activity can have a real effect on the Earth’s magnetic field, which in turn, can wreak havoc with such technological niceties such as GPS, radio communications, transpolar air travel and, the electrical grid which makes our way of life possible.

And depending on whom you ask, the Sun may be preparing to get pissed… or maybe not… but if it is, we could all be affected.  Read on if you dare…

Continue reading »

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